research activities


39/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, I Bladé, NS Fuckar, MP King (2018): The summer NAO, emerging source of Arctic sea ice predictability. Environ. Res. Lett., (in preparation)
38/ M Santolaria-Otín, J García-Serrano, M Méneǵoz, J Bech (2018): On the observed connection between Arctic sea ice and Eursasian snow in relation to the winter NAO. Geophys. Res. Lett., (in preparation)
37/ RI Saurral, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, LB Díaz, CS Vera (2018): Quantifying the impact of initialization in near-term climate prediction over the South Pacific region. Clim. Dyn., (submitted)
36/ DM Smith, JA Screen, C Deser, J Cohen, JC Fyfe, J García-Serrano, T Jung, V Kattsov, D Matei, R Msadek, Y Peings, M Sigmond, J Ukita, J-H Yoon, X Zhang (2018): The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification. Geosci. Model Dev., (submitted)
35/ N Butchart, JA Anstey, K Hamilton, S Osprey, C McLandress, AC Bushell, Y Kawatani, Y-H Kim, F Lott, J Scinocca, T Stockdale, O Bellprat, P Braesicke, C Cagnazzo, C-C Chen, H-Y Chun, M Dobrynin, RR Garcia, J García-Serrano, LJ Gray, L Holt, T Kerzenmacher, H Naoe, H Pohlmann, JH Richter, AA Scaife, V Schenzinger, F Serva, S Versick, S Watanabe, K Yoshida, S Yukimoto (2018): Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi). Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1009-1032.
34/ MP King, I Herceg-Bulić, I Bladé, J García-Serrano, N Keenlyside, F Kucharski, C Li, S Sobolowski (2018): Importance of late-fall ENSO teleconnection in the Euro-Atlantic sector. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 1337-1343.
33/ N Manubens, L-P Caron, A Hunter, O Bellprat, E Exarchou, NS Fuckar, J García-Serrano, F Massonnet, M Ménégoz, V Sicardi, L Batté, C Prodhomme, V Torralba, N Cortesi, O Mula-Valls, K Serradell, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2017): S2Dverification: an R package for climate forecast verification. Environ. Model. Softw., doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.01.018.
32/ J García-Serrano, C Cassou, H Douville, A Giannini, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2017): Revisiting the ENSO teleconnection to the tropical North Atlantic. J. Clim., 30, 6945-6957.
31/ G Gastineau, J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul (2017): The influence of autumnal Eurasian snow cover on climate and its link to Arctic sea ice. J. Clim., 30, 7599-7619.
30/ RI Saurral, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano (2017): Observed modes of sea surface temperature variability in the South Pacific region. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3666-1.
29/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul, MP King, A Arribas, Y Gao, V Guemas, D Matei, R Msadek, W Park, E Sanchez-Gomez (2016): Multi-model assessment of linkages between eastern Arctic sea-ice variabilty and the Euro-Atlantic atmospheric circulation in current climate. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3454-3.
28/ NS Fuckar, F Massonnet, V Guemas, J García-Serrano, O Bellprat, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Acosta (2016): Record low Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent in March 2015. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S136-S140, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0153.2.
27/ O Bellprat, F Massonnet, J García-Serrano, NS Fuckar, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2016): The role of Arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, S36-S41, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0159.2.
26/ J García-Serrano, RJ Haarsma (2016): Non-annular, hemispheric signature of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3292-3.
25/ MP King, J García-Serrano (2016): Potential ocean-atmosphere preconditioning of late autumn Barents-Kara sea ice concentration anomaly. Tellus A, 68, 28580.
24/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul (2015): On the feedback of the winter NAO-driven sea ice anomalies. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2922-5.
23/ J Mignot, J García-Serrano, D Swingedouw, A Germe, S Nguyen, P Ortega, E Guilyardi, S Ray (2015): Decadal prediction skill in the ocean with surface nudging in the IPSL-CM5A-LR climate model. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2898-1.
22/ J García-Serrano, C Frankignoul, G Gastineau, A de la Cámara (2015): On the predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate: lagged influence of autumn Arctic sea ice. J. Clim., 28, 5195-5216.
21/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, E Mohino, CR Mechoso, C Caminade, M Biasutti, M Gaetani, J García-Serrano, EK Vizy, K Cook, Y Xue, I Polo, T Losada, L Druyan, B Fontaine, J Bader, FJ Doblas-Reyes, L Goddard, S Janicot, A Arribas, W Lau, A Colman, M Vellinga, DP Rowell, F Kucharski, A Voldoire (2015): Variability and predictability of West African droughts: a review on the role of sea surface temperature anomalies. J. Clim., 28, 4034-4060. 
20/ J García-Serrano, V Guemas, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2014): Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2370-7.
19/ LRL Rodrigues, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2014): Seasonal forecast quality of the West African monsoon rainfall regimes by multiple forecast systems. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., 119, 7908-7930. 
18/ V Guemas, J García-Serrano, A Mariotti, FJ Doblas-Reyes, L-P Caron (2014): Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region. Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.2379.
17/ FJ Doblas-Reyes, I Andreu-Burillo, Y Chikamoto, J García-Serrano, V Guemas, M Kimoto, T Mochizuki, LRL Rodrigues, GJ van Oldenborgh (2013): Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction. Nature Comm., 4:1715, doi:10.1038/ncomms2704.
16/ J García-Serrano, I Polo, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada (2013): Large-scale atmospheric response to eastern Mediterranean summer-autumn SST anomalies and the associated regional impact. Clim. Dyn., 41, 2251-2265.
15/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, RJ Haarsma, I Polo (2013): Decadal prediction of the dominant West African monsoon rainfall modes. J. Geophys. Res. - Atmos., 118, 5260-5279.
14/ D Volpi, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, V Guemas (2013): Dependence of the climate prediction skill on spatio-temporal scales: internal versus radiatively-forced contribution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 3213-3219.
13/ FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, F Lienert, A Pintó-Biescas, LRL Rodrigues (2013): Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects. WIREs Clim. Change - Advanced Review, 4, 245-268.
12/ X Rodó, M Pascual, FJ Doblas-Reyes, A Gershunov, DA Stone, F Giorgi, PJ Hudson, J Kinter, MA Rodríguez-Arias, NC Stenseth, D Alonso, J García-Serrano, AP Dobson (2013): Climate change and infectious diseases: can we meet the needs for better prediction?. Clim. Change, 118, 625-640.
11/ V Guemas, S Corti, J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Balmaseda, L Magnusson (2013): The Indian Ocean: the region of highest skill worldwide in decadal climate prediction. J. Clim., 26, 726-739. 
10/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes, CAS Coelho (2012): Understanding Atlantic multi-decadal variability prediction skill. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L18708, doi:10.1029/2012GL053283.
09/ J García-Serrano, FJ Doblas-Reyes (2012): On the assessment of near-surface global temperature and North Atlantic multi-decadal variability in the ENSEMBLES decadal hindcast. Clim. Dyn., 39, 2025-2040.
08/ H Du, FJ Doblas-Reyes, J García-Serrano, V Guemas, Y Soufflet, B Wouters (2012): Sensitivity of decadal predictions to the initial atmospheric and oceanic perturbations. Clim. Dyn., 39, 2013-2023.
07/ J García-Serrano, B Rodríguez- Fonseca, I Bladé, P Zurita-Gotor, A de la Cámara (2011): Rotational atmospheric circulation during North Atlantic-European winter: the influence of ENSO. Clim. Dyn., 37, 1727-1743.
06/ J García-Serrano, T Losada, B Rodríguez-Fonseca (2011): Extratropical atmospheric response to the Atlantic Niño decaying phase. J. Clim., 24, 1613-1625.
05/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, S Janicot, E Mohino, T Losada, J Bader, C Caminade, F Chauvin, B Fontaine, J García-Serrano, S Gervois, M Joly, I Polo, P Ruti, P Roucou, A Voldoire (2011): Interannual and decadal SST-forced responses of the West African monsoon. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 12, 67-74.
04/ B Fontaine, J García-Serrano, P Roucou, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada, F Chauvin, S Gervois, S Sijikumar, P Ruti, S Janicot (2010): Impacts of warm and cold situations in the Mediterranean basins on the West African monsoon: observed connection patterns (1979-2006) and climate simulations. Clim. Dyn., 35, 95-114.
03/ B Rodríguez-Fonseca, I Polo, J García-Serrano, T Losada, E Mohino, CR Mechoso, F Kucharski (2009): Are Atlantic Niños enhancing Pacific ENSO events in recent decades?. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20705, doi:10.1029/2009GL040048.
02/ J García-Serrano, T Losada, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, I Polo (2008): Tropical Atlantic Variability modes (1979-2002). Part II: time-evolving atmospheric circulation related to SST-forced tropical convection. J. Clim., 21, 6476-6497.
01/ I Polo, B Rodríguez-Fonseca, T Losada, J García-Serrano (2008): Tropical Atlantic Variability modes (1979-2002). Part I: time-evolving SST modes related to West African rainfall. J. Clim., 21, 6457-6475.